Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.081372 0.090917 0.100663 0.111329 0.122645 0.134265 0.147073
2025-06-01 0.062320 0.076155 0.090998 0.107969 0.126708 0.146647 0.169347
2025-06-08 0.049868 0.065986 0.084029 0.105408 0.129752 0.156342 0.187322
2025-06-15 0.043338 0.061331 0.082187 0.107597 0.137210 0.170180 0.209225
2025-06-22 0.037646 0.056848 0.079848 0.108586 0.142766 0.181446 0.227881
2025-06-29 0.034834 0.055492 0.080902 0.113280 0.152387 0.197182 0.251495
2025-07-06 0.030618 0.051860 0.078776 0.113811 0.156824 0.206715 0.267828
2025-07-13 0.030284 0.053262 0.082901 0.121968 0.170382 0.226939 0.296613
2025-07-20 0.025703 0.048414 0.078661 0.119403 0.170708 0.231363 0.306795
2025-07-27 0.024202 0.047746 0.079772 0.123514 0.179152 0.245419 0.328308
2025-08-03 0.021715 0.045393 0.078443 0.124344 0.183421 0.254388 0.343749
2025-08-10 0.019776 0.043671 0.077834 0.125997 0.188638 0.264454 0.360473
2025-08-17 0.017625 0.041590 0.076838 0.127396 0.193934 0.275143 0.378650
2025-08-24 0.014359 0.037337 0.072523 0.124200 0.193295 0.278560 0.388142
2025-08-31 0.011661 0.033644 0.068732 0.121486 0.193103 0.282409 0.398079
2025-09-07 0.010485 0.032519 0.068681 0.123881 0.199546 0.294521 0.418125
2025-09-14 0.009160 0.030912 0.067761 0.124959 0.204191 0.304342 0.435353
2025-09-21 0.008771 0.031115 0.069662 0.130062 0.214216 0.321000 0.461078
2025-09-28 0.007574 0.029461 0.068481 0.130638 0.218117 0.329854 0.477131
2025-10-05 0.007942 0.031240 0.072938 0.139488 0.233258 0.353125 0.511201
2025-10-12 0.006337 0.028364 0.069556 0.136708 0.232530 0.356028 0.519850
2025-10-19 0.006013 0.028414 0.071059 0.141163 0.241691 0.371663 0.544458
2025-10-26 0.005210 0.027146 0.070225 0.142063 0.245933 0.380937 0.561095